Influence of natural vs. anthropogenic stresses on water resource sustainability: a case study

Climate change has been identified as a major influence on basin water balances. However, land use and water use practices have also been identified as players. This case study was completed to better understand a changing water balance affecting a major basin in Alberta. The Beaver River basin is located in east central Alberta. Much of the basin has been developed for agricultural use; however, a number of heavy oil operations also exist. Both sectors use surface and groundwater. Evidence exists that the basin hydrology has changed since the mid-1970s. Coincidently, it was at this time that much of the land was cleared for agricultural development and commercial-scale oil development began. Oil industry use of water was suspected as the main cause for the changes observed. To investigate this further, data from regional hydrometric and meteorological stations were assessed along with water well hydrographs and historical satellite images. A significant correlation was found between basin responses and a climate phenomenon known as the Pacific decadal oscillation. Although the correlation between the Pacific decadal oscillation and basin hydrology appeared strong, deforestation for agricultural development also seemed to have an effect. Use of the local water resources was found to be of minor significance.