Silent spread of H5N1 in vaccinated poultry
Nicholas J Savill1, Suzanne G St Rose, Matthew J Keeling
1Centre for Infectious Diseases, University of Edinburgh, Ashworth Laboratories, The King's Buildings, Edinburgh EH9 3JT, UK. nick.savill@ed.ac.uk
Abstract:
International debate on the merits of vaccinating poultry against the H5N1 influenza A virus has raised concerns about the possibility of an increased risk of between-flock transmission before outbreaks are detected. Here we show that this 'silent spread' can occur because of incomplete protection at the flock level, even if a vaccine is effective in individual birds. The use of unvaccinated sentinels can mitigate, although not completely eliminate, the problem.
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