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Reliability of predictors of study success in medicine
Gerald Haidinger1, Oskar Frischenschlager, Lukas Mitterauer
1Department of Epidemiology, Centre for Public Health, Medical University of Vienna, Austria. gerald.haidinger@meduniwien.ac.at
Aim:
Examination of the reliability of predictors for study success found in a prospective study in the year 2002/03. We report the results of a retest in an unselected students' sample taken from the following academic year 2003/04.
Methods:
In a comparison of successful and unsuccessful students in their first year at the Medical University of Vienna, four predictors for study success had been found (using a questionnaire in a prospective design). In a re-examination of this study, after testing for representativeness, all P values were first subjected to adjustment for multiple testing. Secondly, the items were retested in a student sample drawn in 2003/04 using the same procedures.
Results:
After Finner's adjustment for multiple testing, the four predictors (male sex, German mother tongue, performance at school, learning capacity and learning style) were confirmed. In the students' sample of 2003/04, eighteen out of 22 items remained significant.
Conclusion:
The majority of the prognostic factors found are reliable.
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