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Updated: Jul 20, 2026

A Machine Learning Approach to Design an Efficient Selective Screening of Mild Cognitive Impairment
Published on: January 11, 2020
Subtype of mild cognitive impairment and progression to dementia and death
Kristine Yaffe1, Ron C Petersen, Karla Lindquist
1Department of Psychiatry, University of California, San Francisco, CA 94121, USA. kristine.yaffe@ucsf.edu
Background:
Mild cognitive impairment (MCI) represents a common cognitive state between normal cognitive aging and dementia. There is limited information about the heterogeneity of MCI and how this heterogeneity may influence the clinical course of MCI. We determined the longitudinal course of subtypes of MCI and assessed the rate of progression to dementia and to death.
Methods:
As part of the Alzheimer's Disease Research Centers of California, we studied 327 patients with MCI (250 with amnestic MCI, 34 with single nonmemory MCI, and 43 with multiple domain MCI) who were followed longitudinally. We determined if subtype of MCI was independently associated with time to dementia diagnosis and time to death using Cox proportional hazard models, and type of dementia using Fisher's exact test.
Results:
Mean age of the patients with MCI was 72.9 +/- 9.3 years and mean Mini-Mental State Examination score was 25.7 +/- 4.3. After a mean follow-up of 3.1 years, 199 (65%) progressed to dementia and 80 (24%) died. After multivariate adjustment, compared to those with amnestic MCI, patients with single nonmemory or multiple subtype MCI were less likely to receive a diagnosis of dementia (HR = 0.60; 95% CI 0.35-1.05 and HR = 0.71; 95% CI 0.44-1.14) but more likely to die (HR = 2.57; 95% CI 1.13-5.84 and HR = 1.73; 95% CI 0.72-4.18), but these results were of borderline statistical significance. There were significant differences in the type of dementia diagnosed across MCI subtypes (p = 0.006). Among the patients who progressed to Alzheimer's disease, 76% had prior amnestic MCI; of the patients who progressed to vascular dementia, 50% had prior amnestic MCI; all patients who progressed to a frontal dementia syndrome had single nonmemory MCI previously.
Conclusions:
The majority of patients with MCI progressed to dementia and a significant proportion died. Subtype of MCI may influence rates of progression to death and to dementia and has a major influence on subsequent type of dementia diagnosis.
Insights
Mild cognitive impairment (MCI) subtypes influence dementia risk and cause of death. Amnestic MCI is linked to Alzheimer's, while other subtypes may increase mortality risk.
Area of Science:
- Neurology
- Gerontology
- Cognitive Science
Background:
- Mild cognitive impairment (MCI) is a transitional stage between normal aging and dementia.
- Limited understanding exists regarding MCI heterogeneity and its impact on clinical outcomes.
- This study investigates the longitudinal course and progression of MCI subtypes.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine the longitudinal course of different mild cognitive impairment (MCI) subtypes.
- To assess the rate of progression from MCI to dementia and to death based on MCI subtype.
- To analyze the influence of MCI subtypes on the type of dementia diagnosed.
Main Methods:
- Longitudinal study of 327 patients with MCI (amnestic, single nonmemory, multiple domain).
- Cox proportional hazard models used to assess time to dementia diagnosis and death.
- Fisher's exact test employed to determine the type of dementia across MCI subtypes.
Main Results:
- 65% of MCI patients progressed to dementia; 24% died within a mean follow-up of 3.1 years.
- Non-amnestic MCI subtypes showed borderline significance for lower dementia risk but higher mortality risk compared to amnestic MCI.
- Significant differences observed in dementia type diagnosis across MCI subtypes (p=0.006).
Conclusions:
- Most patients with MCI progress to dementia, with a notable proportion experiencing mortality.
- MCI subtype appears to influence progression rates to dementia and death.
- MCI subtype significantly impacts the specific type of dementia diagnosed post-MCI.
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