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Updated: Jan 12, 2026

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Published on: July 10, 2020
Variations in solar luminosity and their effect on the Earth's climate.
P Foukal1, C Fröhlich, H Spruit
1Heliophysics, Inc., Nahant, Massachusetts 01908, USA.
Solar activity variations do not significantly contribute to global warming. Detailed analysis shows the Sun's total energy output changes are too small to explain recent climate change, suggesting other factors are at play.
Area of Science:
- Solar physics
- Climate science
- Astronomy
Background:
- The Sun's energy output (luminosity) varies with the 11-year sunspot cycle due to sunspots and bright structures.
- Spacecraft measurements since 1978 show these variations are minimal.
Purpose of the Study:
- To review and analyze solar luminosity changes and their impact on global warming.
- To assess the Sun's influence on climate since the seventeenth century.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of spacecraft data on solar luminosity variations.
- Review of scientific literature on solar activity and climate forcing.
Main Results:
- Solar luminosity variations are too small to account for accelerated global warming over the past 30 years.
- The Sun's brightening is unlikely to have significantly influenced global warming since the seventeenth century.
Conclusions:
- Solar output variations have a negligible impact on recent global warming.
- Other climate forcing mechanisms, such as changes in ultraviolet light and magnetized plasmas, require further complex evaluation.
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