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Updated: Jul 19, 2026

A Rapidly Incremented Tethered-Swimming Maximal Protocol for Cardiorespiratory Assessment of Swimmers
Published on: January 28, 2020
Measuring and predicting maximal aerobic power in international-level intermittent sport athletes
A E Kilding1, A R Aziz, K C Teh
1Division of Sport and Recreation, Faculty of Health and Environmental Sciences, Auckland University of Technology, Auckland, New Zealand. Andrew.kilding@aut.ac.nz
Aim:
The purpose of this study was to measure actual VO2max during the multi-stage fitness test (MSFT) and to compare this with predicted values obtained using previously established, commonly used methods. We also wanted to determine a new and more accurate regression equation for the prediction of VO2max in intermittent sport athletes.
Methods:
Twenty-six, elite, male, intermittent sport athletes performed the MSFT with oxygen uptake (VO2) and heart rate (HR) measured throughout. Paired t-tests were used to compare measured VO2max with predicted VO2max. Linear regression was used to determine the equation for the prediction of VO2max from the total number of shuttles completed.
Results:
There were no differences between the two methods of predicting VO2max, however, both predicted values (53.6+/-3.9 and 51.3+/-4 mL x kg(-1) x min(-1)) were significantly lower (9.3% and 13.2%, respectively) than measured VO2max (59.1+/-6.6 mL x kg(-1) x min(-1), P < 0.001). Correlations between measured and predicted VO2max were similar for both prediction methods (r = 0.61, P = 0.013 and r = 0.68 and P = 0.004). We present a new prediction equation [Y (VO2max, mL x kg(-1) x min(-1)) = 0.38 x total number of shuttles completed +25.98] (where R = 0.69; R2 = 0.48; SEE = 4.9 mL x kg(-1) x min(-1); SEE% = 8.3) which provides a more valid method of predicting actual max in intermittent sport athletes.
Conclusions:
A new regression equation to predict VO2max in intermittent sport athletes has been established. Whilst some error in predicting VO2max still exists, the new equation will provide coaches and sport-scientists with a more suitable equation with which to predict VO2max in intermittent sport athletes.

