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Published on: January 9, 2016
Discounting in economic evaluations: stepping forward towards optimal decision rules.
Hugh Gravelle1, Werner Brouwer, Louis Niessen
1National Primary Care Research and Development Centre (NPCRDC), Centre for Health Economics, University of York, UK.
National Institute for Clinical Excellence (NICE) guidelines on discounting costs and effects in economic evaluations lead to suboptimal decisions. The current approach fails to account for the changing value of health, necessitating revised methods for cost-benefit analysis.
Area of Science:
- Health economics
- Economic evaluation
- Cost-benefit analysis
Background:
- The National Institute for Clinical Excellence (NICE) updated guidelines for economic evaluations.
- Current guidelines mandate equal discounting rates for costs and health effects.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the impact of NICE's updated discounting guidelines on economic evaluations.
- To demonstrate the sub-optimal decision-making resulting from current discounting practices.
- To propose alternative approaches for incorporating the value of health over time.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of economic evaluation principles under different discounting scenarios.
- Modeling the implications of uniform versus differential discounting for health effects.
- Examination of methods for integrating budget constraints into economic evaluations.
Main Results:
- The guideline requiring equal discounting rates for costs and health effects leads to sub-optimal decisions.
- Current practices do not adequately account for the changing value of health over time.
- Binding health service budget constraints can be effectively incorporated into evaluations.
Conclusions:
- NICE and other regulatory bodies should adopt differential discounting for health effects or alternative methods to address the changing value of health.
- Revised guidelines are needed to ensure optimal resource allocation in healthcare economic evaluations.
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