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Published on: August 2, 2019
Cardiotrophin-1 predicts death or heart failure following acute myocardial infarction
Sohail Q Khan1, Dominic Kelly, Paulene Quinn
1Department of Cardiovascular Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, United Kingdom.
Insights
Cardiotrophin-1 (CT-1) and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) can predict adverse outcomes after acute myocardial infarction (AMI). Combining CT-1 and NT-proBNP levels improves prediction of death or heart failure post-AMI.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Biomarkers
- Inflammatory Cytokines
Background:
- Cardiotrophin-1 (CT-1) is an inflammatory cytokine found in patients post-acute myocardial infarction (AMI).
- The predictive value of CT-1 for mortality or heart failure after AMI is not well-established.
- N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) is a known marker for adverse outcomes in AMI patients.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the role of CT-1 as a predictor of death or heart failure following AMI.
- To compare the predictive performance of CT-1 with NT-proBNP.
- To evaluate the combined predictive value of CT-1 and NT-proBNP.
Main Methods:
- Studied 291 patients post-AMI.
- Measured plasma concentrations of CT-1 and NT-proBNP using immunoassays.
- Followed patients for mortality and heart failure readmissions.
- Utilized multivariate logistic regression and receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis.
Main Results:
- CT-1 levels were significantly higher in patients who died or were readmitted for heart failure compared to survivors (P = .019).
- Both CT-1 (OR 1.8, P = .031) and NT-proBNP (OR 2.4, P = .026) independently predicted death or heart failure.
- The area under the curve (AUC) for CT-1 was 0.62, for NT-proBNP was 0.77, and for the combined model was 0.84.
Conclusions:
- Combined levels of CT-1 and NT-proBNP provide superior prediction of death or heart failure after AMI compared to either marker alone.
- CT-1 emerges as a potential independent predictor of adverse outcomes post-AMI.
- The combination of biomarkers offers enhanced prognostic information for AMI patients.
Background:
Cardiotrophin-1 (CT-1) is an important inflammatory cytokine; its presence has been documented in patients after acute myocardial infarction (AMI). However, its role as a predictor of death or heart failure is unclear. We sought to investigate this and compared it with N terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), a marker of death or heart failure.
Methods And Results:
We studied 291 post-AMI patients. The plasma concentration of CT-1 and NT-proBNP was determined using in-house noncompetitive immunoassays and patients followed for death or heart failure. There were 27 deaths and 19 readmissions with heart failure. CT-1 was raised in patients with death or heart failure compared with survivors (median [range] fmol/mL, 0.9 [0.1-392.2] vs. 0.67 [0-453.3], P = .019). Using a multivariate binary logistic model CT-1 (OR 1.8, 95% CI: 1.1-3.2, P = .031) and NT-proBNP (OR 2.4, 95% CI: 1.1-5.2, P = .026) predicted death or heart failure independently of age, sex, previous AMI, serum creatinine, and Killip class. The receiver-operating curve for CT-1 yielded an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.62 (95% CI: 0.53-0.70, P = .017); for NT-proBNP the AUC was 0.77 (95% CI: 0.69-0.86, P < .001); the logistic model combining the 2 markers yielded an AUC of 0.84 (95% CI: 0.78-0.91, P < .001).
Conclusion:
After an AMI, combined levels of CT-1 and NT-proBNP are more informative at predicting death or heart failure than either marker alone.
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