Mechanistic models to perform population risk assessment with the midge Chironomus riparius: application to heavy...

Mechanistic models can substantially contribute to population risk assessment to assess effects on population and to increase the relevance of the toxicity parameters estimated at an individual level. We use four mechanistic models to change the scale from concentration to effects on individuals and from individuals to population with the midge Chironomus riparius: a kinetics model; an energy-based effects model, linking effects on the life cycle and compound body residues; a matrix approach to derive population growth rate; and an energy-based population model to derive carrying capacity. The whole "model battery" was applied to cadmium and copper. The data came from growth, survival, and reproduction tests. We also incorporated information about compounds physiological mode of action and kinetics. Thresholds at population level were derived through comparisons with our control database. We showed that our two population endpoints (carrying capacity and population growth rate) provide complementary information about toxicity risks, even if, in our study, population growth rate appeared to be slightly more sensitive than carrying capacity. We found population no effect concentration of, respectively, 0.42 and 9.3 mg/kg for cadmium and copper. We also showed that information about physiological mode of action was relevant, whereas a kinetics test was unnecessary.