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A Method to Test the Effect of Environmental Cues on Mating Behavior in Drosophila melanogaster
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Estimating a marriage matching model with spillover effects.

Eugene Choo1, Aloysius Siow

  • 1Department of Economics, University of Toronto, 150 St. George Street, M5S 3G7 Toronto, Ontario, Canada. eugene.choo@utoronto.ca

Demography
|October 21, 2006
PubMed
Summary

Changes in population supply, like gender mortality differences and the baby boom, alter marriage market gains. Scarcity of men modestly reduced women

Area of Science:

  • Economics
  • Demography
  • Sociology

Background:

  • Marriage and cohabitation patterns are influenced by population dynamics.
  • Understanding individual gains from marriage and cohabitation is key to analyzing marital behavior.
  • Previous models often struggled to account for changing population supplies and their distributional effects.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To model how changes in population supply affect marital patterns using a behavioral marriage matching function.
  • To estimate systematic gains from marriage and cohabitation relative to remaining single.
  • To quantify the impact of gender mortality differences and the baby boom on Canadian marital behavior.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized a nonparametric, behavioral marriage matching function with spillover effects.

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  • The model estimates gains to marriage and cohabitation, which are invariant to population supply changes.
  • Fitted the model to observed cross-sectional marriage matching distributions in Canada.
  • Main Results:

    • Changes in population supply redistribute gains between partners rather than altering total gains.
    • Higher male mortality rates (making men scarcer) modestly decreased women's welfare and increased men's welfare in the marriage market.
    • The baby boom increased older men's marriage market gains while decreasing middle-aged women's gains.

    Conclusions:

    • Behavioral marriage matching functions can capture complex marital dynamics influenced by population shifts.
    • Population supply changes have significant distributional consequences on individual welfare within the marriage market.
    • Historical demographic events like the baby boom have lasting impacts on marital behavior and associated economic gains.