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Dissecting inflammation in ESRD: do cytokines and C-reactive protein have a complementary prognostic value for
Carmine Zoccali1, Giovanni Tripepi, Francesca Mallamaci
1Nephrology, Hypertension & Renal Transplantation Unit, Ospedali Riuniti, Reggio Calabria, Italy. carmine.zoccali@tin.it
Insights
High levels of inflammation biomarkers, including C-reactive protein (CRP) and cytokines, significantly increase mortality risk in ESRD patients. Interleukin-6 (IL-6) alone effectively predicts this increased risk, highlighting its importance in managing inflammation.
Area of Science:
- Nephrology
- Immunology
- Cardiovascular Medicine
Background:
- Atherogenesis is a chronic inflammatory process involving the immune response.
- Inflammation plays a critical role in the pathophysiology of End-Stage Renal Disease (ESRD).
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the predictive power of C-reactive protein (CRP) and proinflammatory cytokines for mortality in ESRD patients.
- To determine if a combination of inflammation biomarkers offers superior prediction compared to individual markers, particularly IL-6.
Main Methods:
- A cohort of 217 ESRD patients was followed for an average of 41 months.
- Mortality risk was analyzed using adjusted models considering inflammation biomarkers (CRP, IL-1 beta, IL-6, IL-18, TNF-alpha).
- Bayesian receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was employed to assess predictive power.
Main Results:
- Increased levels of one or more inflammation biomarkers were associated with significantly higher relative risks for death (up to 3.05 times).
- The combined inflammation burden explained 9.1% of mortality variation, marginally more than IL-6 alone (6.1%).
- Bayesian ROC analysis showed IL-6 alone had identical predictive power (0.59 +/- 0.04) to the combined inflammatory burden.
Conclusions:
- Interleukin-6 (IL-6) largely captures the predictive power of overall inflammation burden for mortality in ESRD.
- IL-6 is a highly effective biomarker for assessing the severity of inflammation in ESRD patients.
- IL-6 is recommended for clinical studies investigating inflammation in ESRD to improve understanding and therapeutic strategies.
Abstract:
Because atherogenesis represents a type of chronic inflammation that involves multiple elements of the inflammatory-immune response, the simultaneous prediction power for death of C-reactive protein (CRP) and proinflammatory cytokines (IL-1 beta, IL-6, IL-18, and TNF-alpha) was tested in a cohort of 217 patients with ESRD. During the follow-up period (average 41 mo), 112 patients died. In an analysis that was adjusted for other risk factors, the relative risks for death of patients who were exposed to high levels of one, two, three, and four or more inflammation biomarkers were 1.48, 1.64, 2.76, and 3.05 times higher, respectively, than that of patients in the reference category (no inflammation). In this model, the explained variation in mortality that was attributable to overall inflammation burden (+9.1%) was marginally higher (P = 0.06) than that provided by IL-6 alone (+6.1%). In an alternative analysis based on the Bayesian approach (receiver operating characteristic curves analysis), the prediction power of the combined inflammatory burden was identical to that provided by the sole IL-6 (0.59 +/- 0.04 versus 0.59 +/- 0.04). IL-6 captures almost entirely the prediction power of the overall inflammation burden in patients with ESRD. IL-6 seems to be an almost ideal indicator of the severity of inflammation. The use of this biomarker can be recommended in clinical studies that aim to better the understanding of inflammation or to modify it in this population.
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