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Published on: January 28, 2020
EuroSCORE as a predictor of death and myocardial infarction after unprotected left main coronary stenting
Young-Hak Kim1, Jung-Min Ahn, Duk-Woo Park
1Department of Medicine, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.
Insights
High surgical risk, indicated by the EuroSCORE, and the number of stents used are key predictors of adverse outcomes following unprotected left main coronary artery stenting. Glycoprotein IIb/IIIa inhibitor use also significantly increases risk.
Area of Science:
- Cardiovascular Medicine
- Interventional Cardiology
- Health Outcomes Research
Background:
- Unprotected left main coronary artery stenting is a complex procedure with significant risks.
- Identifying predictors of adverse events is crucial for patient selection and risk management.
Purpose of the Study:
- To identify independent predictors of death and myocardial infarction (MI) after unprotected left main coronary artery stenting.
- To evaluate the utility of systemic surgical risk stratification scores in predicting outcomes.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective analysis of patients undergoing unprotected left main coronary artery stenting between January 2000 and March 2005.
- Inclusion of bare metal and sirolimus-eluting stents.
- Multivariate Cox regression analysis to determine independent predictors of death/MI, including EuroSCORE and Parsonnet score.
Main Results:
- The study included 324 patients (148 bare metal, 176 sirolimus-eluting stents).
- Death or MI occurred in 13% of patients during a median follow-up of 26.3 months.
- Independent predictors of death/MI included a high EuroSCORE (≥6), increased number of stents used, and treatment with glycoprotein IIb/IIIa inhibitors.
Conclusions:
- High surgical risk, as estimated by the EuroSCORE, is associated with unfavorable outcomes in unprotected left main coronary artery stenting.
- The number of stents and use of glycoprotein IIb/IIIa inhibitors are significant procedural factors influencing outcomes.
- Systemic risk stratification tools like the EuroSCORE can aid in predicting adverse events in this patient population.
Abstract:
This study aimed to identify the independent predictors of death and myocardial infarction (MI) after unprotected left main coronary artery stenting with bare metal (n = 148) or sirolimus-eluting (n = 176) stents between January 2000 and March 2005. To identify independent predictors of death and nonfatal MI, all available parameters were evaluated. Systemic surgical risk stratification systems such as the EuroSCORE and Parsonnet score were included in the analysis. Clinical information at 9 months was available in 98% of patients (median follow-up 26.3 months). During this period, death/MI occurred in 42 patients (13%). Of the 5 deaths, 4 were related to cardiac and 1 to noncardiac causes. By multivariate Cox regression analysis, a high EuroSCORE (> or =6; hazard ratio 3.4, 95% confidence interval 1.2 to 9.6, p = 0.023), number of stents used (hazard ratio 1.8, 95% confidence interval 1.0 to 3.1, p = 0.042), and treatment with a glycoprotein IIb/IIIa inhibitor (hazard ratio 8.6, 95% confidence interval 2.7 to 27.4, p <0.001) were independent predictors of death/MI. Areas under the receiver-operating characteristic curve of EuroSCORE and number of stents were 0.61 (95% confidence interval 0.52 to 0.70, p = 0.023) and 0.61 (95% confidence interval 0.51 to 0.70, p = 0.028), respectively. In conclusion, high surgical risk estimated by systemic risk stratification of the EuroSCORE appears to be associated with unfavorable outcomes of unprotected left main coronary artery stenting.
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