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Variation in incidence of neurodevelopmental disorders with season of birth
Hjördís Osk Atladóttir1, Erik T Parner, Diana Schendel
1NANEA, Department of Epidemiology, Institute of Public Health, University of Aarhus, Aarhus, Denmark. hoa@soci.au.dk
Insights
This study found no significant seasonal birth variations for autism spectrum disorder or other common childhood neurodevelopmental disorders. These findings suggest seasonal environmental factors are unlikely to be primary causes.
Area of Science:
- Neurodevelopmental Disorders
- Childhood Neuropsychiatric Disorders
- Autism Spectrum Disorder Etiology
Background:
- The causes of autism spectrum disorder (ASD) and other neurodevelopmental disorders remain largely unknown.
- Investigating seasonal birth patterns can offer clues to potential seasonal etiological factors.
Purpose of the Study:
- To examine seasonal birth variations for four common childhood neuropsychiatric disorders.
- Specifically analyzed autism spectrum disorder, hyperkinetic disorder, Tourette syndrome, and obsessive-compulsive disorder.
Main Methods:
- Utilized a Danish cohort of 669,995 children born between 1990-1999.
- Analyzed diagnoses from Danish National Psychiatric Registry (1995-2004) using ICD-10.
- Employed logistic regression with splines, adjusting for follow-up time and incidence changes.
Main Results:
- No statistically significant seasonal birth variations were detected for any of the four studied disorders.
- This lack of variation extended to subtypes of autism spectrum disorder.
Conclusions:
- While seasonal birth variations cannot be definitively ruled out, evidence is weak.
- Current findings suggest limited association between seasonal environmental factors and these neurodevelopmental disorders.
Background:
The etiologies of autism spectrum disorder and many neurodevelopmental disorders are largely unknown. The detection of a seasonal variation of birth of children diagnosed with a certain disorder could suggest etiological factors that follow a seasonal pattern. We examined the seasonal variation of births of children diagnosed with any of 4 common childhood neuropsychiatric disorders: autism spectrum disorder, hyperkinetic disorder, Tourette syndrome, and obsessive-compulsive disorder.
Methods:
The study cohort consisted of all children born in Denmark from 1990 through 1999 identified in the Danish Medical Birth Register (n = 669,995). Outcome data consisted of both inpatient and outpatient diagnoses reported to the Danish National Psychiatric Registry from 1995 through 2004 using the International Classification of Diseases, 10th edition, diagnostic coding system. Logistic regression combined with spline (a smoothing method) was used to estimate the variation with season of birth for each disorder. Estimates of risk of each disorder with season of birth were adjusted for differences in follow-up time and change in incidence over time.
Results:
No convincing variations in season of birth were observed for any of the 4 disorders, or for the autism-spectrum-disorder subtypes.
Conclusion:
Although we cannot rule out the possibility of seasonal variation of birth for a range of childhood neurodevelopmental disorders, we find little evidence that seasonal environmental factors are related to these disorders.
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