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Updated: Jul 17, 2026

Development of Multiplex Real-Time RT-qPCR Assays for the Detection of SARS-CoV-2, Influenza A/B, and MERS-CoV
Published on: November 10, 2023
[A possible scenario of pandemic influenza in Italy]
Donato Greco1, Elvira Rizzuto, Daniele Paramatti
1Ministero della Salute - Direzione Generale della Prevenzione Sanitaria.
Abstract:
An influenza pandemic is expected to occur and will require timely countermeasures. Based on analysis of past influenza epidemics, a deterministic model was developed to estimate the expected number of cases (over 12 million), medical consultations (over 5 million), hospital admissions (over 220,000) and deaths (over 43,000) in the absence of public health interventions. The adoption of available measures would reduce the number of cases by about 22%, hospitalizations by 20%, and deaths by 28%.
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