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Published on: August 2, 2011
Spatial spread of an emerging infectious disease: conjunctivitis in House Finches
Parviez R Hosseini1, André A Dhondt, Andy P Dobson
1Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Princeton University, Princeton, New Jersey 08544-1003, USA. hosseini@princeton.edu
Abstract:
In this paper we quantify the rate of spread of the newly emerged pathogen Mycoplasma gallisepticum of the House Finch, Carpodacus mexicanus, in its introduced range. We compare and contrast the rapid, yet decelerating, rate of spread of the pathogen with the slower, yet accelerating rate of spread of the introduced host. Comparing the rate of spread of this pathogen to pathogens in terrestrial mammalian hosts, we see that elevation and factors relating to host abundance restrict disease spread, rather than finding any major effects of discrete barriers or anthropogenic movement. We examine the role of seasonality in the rate of spread, finding that the rate and direction of disease spread relates more to seasonality in host movement than to seasonality in disease prevalence. We conclude that asymptomatic carriers are major transmitters of Mycoplasma gallisepticum into novel locations, a finding which may also be true for many other diseases, such as West Nile Virus and avian influenza.
Insights
The spread of Mycoplasma gallisepticum in House Finches decelerates over time, influenced by elevation and host abundance, not barriers. Asymptomatic carriers are key to disease transmission.
Area of Science:
- Ecology
- Epidemiology
- Veterinary Science
Background:
- Mycoplasma gallisepticum is an emergent pathogen affecting House Finches (Carpodacus mexicanus) in their introduced range.
- Understanding disease spread dynamics is crucial for wildlife health management.
Purpose of the Study:
- To quantify the rate of spread of Mycoplasma gallisepticum in House Finches.
- To compare the spread rates of the pathogen and its host.
- To identify factors influencing disease dissemination.
Main Methods:
- Quantified pathogen spread rate in relation to host spread rate.
- Compared disease spread in birds to terrestrial mammals.
- Analyzed the influence of elevation, host abundance, barriers, anthropogenic movement, and seasonality on disease spread.
Main Results:
- Pathogen spread was rapid but decelerating, contrasting with slower, accelerating host spread.
- Elevation and host abundance significantly restricted disease spread.
- Seasonality in host movement, rather than disease prevalence, affected spread rate and direction.
Conclusions:
- Asymptomatic carriers are significant transmitters of Mycoplasma gallisepticum to new locations.
- This finding may apply to other diseases like West Nile Virus and avian influenza.
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