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Updated: Jul 17, 2026

Competing-Risk Nomogram for Predicting Cancer-Specific Survival in Multiple Primary Colorectal Cancer Patients after Surgery
Published on: September 27, 2024
Pathologic complete response may not represent the optimal surrogate for survival after preoperative therapy for
A William Blackstock1, Mabea Aklilu, James Lovato
1Department of Radiation Oncology, Wake Forest University School of Medicine, Winston Salem, NC 27157, USA. ablackst@wfubmc.edu
Background:
We designed a phase II trial to examine the benefit of preoperative hyperfractionated radiation therapy (XRT) and concurrent chemotherapy for patients with locally advanced esophageal cancer (LAEC).
Aim Of Study:
The pathologic complete response (pCR) was the primary endpoint to estimate efficacy.
Methods:
Twenty-three patients with LAEC received twice-daily XRT during wk 1 and 5 and once-daily XRT during wk 2-4 (59 Gy). Cisplatin (100 mg/m(2)) was given on d 1, while 5-fluorouracil (1000 mg/m(2)) was given by continuous infusion the first and fifth weeks of the XRT.
Results:
The pCR for the 19 patients undergoing esophagectomy was 16%. The study was closed at the interim analysis having not met the required minimum pCR rate of 20%. Hematologic toxicities consisted of grades III and IV neutropenia observed in 33% and 14% of patients, respectively. Grade III nausea and vomiting was seen in 38% of patients. One grade V pulmonary toxicity occurred. The median survival was 44.6 mo with 65% of patients alive at 2 yr.
Conclusions:
The pCR rate in this trial did not meet the predetermined statistical minimum. With the encouraging 2-yr survival, it is not clear that pCR is a reliable surrogate endpoint to discern treatment efficacy.