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The case for a posteriori hypotheses to fuel scientific progress
1Institute and Policlinic for Occupational and Social Medicine, School of Medicine and Dentistry, University of Cologne, Joseph-Stelzmann-Strasse 9, 50924 Köln, Lindenthal, Germany. tim.erren@uni-koeln.de <tim.erren@uni-koeln.de>
This study argues for the value of a posteriori hypotheses in scientific research. Clearly stating these hypotheses, even if developed after initial observations, accelerates scientific progress and facilitates future studies.
Area of Science:
- Scientific Methodology
- Philosophy of Science
Background:
- A priori hypotheses are standard in science.
- A posteriori hypotheses are often dismissed as inappropriate.
- Current practices inadequately acknowledge a posteriori hypotheses.
Purpose of the Study:
- Advocate for the formal recognition and clear statement of a posteriori hypotheses.
- Highlight the role of a posteriori hypotheses in advanced scientific thinking.
- Encourage the use of a posteriori hypotheses to facilitate scientific progress.
Main Methods:
- Conceptual analysis of scientific methodology.
- Argumentation for the integration of a posteriori hypotheses in research publications.
Main Results:
- A posteriori hypotheses, arising from new observations, can be valuable.
- Testing of a posteriori hypotheses may occur in future studies.
- Unambiguous formulation of a posteriori hypotheses aids follow-up research.
Conclusions:
- A posteriori hypotheses should be encouraged as a key tool for researchers.
- Formal requirement of reporting a posteriori hypotheses in publications is suggested.
- Embracing a posteriori hypotheses can enhance the pace of scientific discovery.
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