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Published on: February 26, 2013
Subclinical atherosclerosis and risk of atrial fibrillation: the rotterdam study
Jan Heeringa1, Deirdre A M van der Kuip, Albert Hofman
1Departments of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Erasmus Medical Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Insights
Subclinical atherosclerosis, measured by carotid intima-media thickness and plaque severity, independently increases the risk of developing atrial fibrillation in individuals without known heart disease. Aggressive management of atherosclerosis may prevent this condition.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Vascular Biology
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Atrial fibrillation is a common complication following myocardial infarction.
- The association between subclinical atherosclerosis and atrial fibrillation risk is not well understood.
- This study investigates the role of atherosclerosis in atrial fibrillation development among individuals without diagnosed coronary artery disease.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine if subclinical atherosclerosis predicts the incidence of atrial fibrillation.
- To evaluate the relationship between carotid artery measures and atrial fibrillation risk.
- To assess whether atherosclerosis is an independent risk factor for atrial fibrillation.
Main Methods:
- The Rotterdam Study, a population-based cohort of 4407 older adults, was analyzed.
- Carotid intima-media thickness and carotid plaque presence/severity were assessed at baseline.
- Incident atrial fibrillation was tracked over a median of 7.5 years, with Cox proportional hazards models used for analysis.
Main Results:
- Increased carotid intima-media thickness (highest vs. lowest quartile) was associated with a 1.90-fold higher risk of atrial fibrillation.
- Severe carotid plaques correlated with a 1.49-fold increased risk of atrial fibrillation.
- These associations were more pronounced in women than in men.
Conclusions:
- Subclinical atherosclerosis is an independent risk factor for developing atrial fibrillation in individuals without overt atherosclerotic disease.
- Findings suggest that early and aggressive management of atherosclerosis could be a strategy to prevent atrial fibrillation.
- Targeting subclinical atherosclerosis may reduce the burden of atrial fibrillation in the general population.
Background:
Myocardial infarction is an important risk factor for atrial fibrillation, but the role of subclinical atherosclerosis is unknown. This longitudinal study evaluates whether atherosclerosis affects the risk of atrial fibrillation in persons without overt coronary disease.
Methods:
This investigation was part of the Rotterdam Study, a population-based cohort study among persons 55 years or older. Participants with atrial fibrillation at baseline, with a history of myocardial infarction, or with angina pectoris and those who had undergone cardiac operative procedures were excluded, leaving 4407 subjects for the analyses. Baseline intima-media thickness of the common carotid artery and the presence of carotid plaques were used as indices of generalized atherosclerosis. During a median follow-up of 7.5 years, 269 cases of incident atrial fibrillation were identified. Relative risks were calculated with 95% confidence intervals, adjusted for age and sex, using the Cox proportional hazards model. Additional adjustments were made for body mass index, hypertension, systolic blood pressure, serum cholesterol level, smoking, diabetes mellitus, left ventricular hypertrophy on the electrocardiogram, and the use of cardiac medication.
Results:
The risk of atrial fibrillation was associated with carotid intima-media thickness (relative risk, 1.90; 95% confidence interval, 1.20-3.00, highest vs lowest quartile) and severity of carotid plaques (relative risk, 1.49; 95% confidence interval, 1.06-2.10, severe vs absence). Risk estimates were stronger in women than in men.
Conclusions:
Atherosclerosis in participants without manifest atherosclerotic disease is an independent risk factor for atrial fibrillation. These results suggest that aggressive treatment of asymptomatic atherosclerosis may help to prevent atrial fibrillation.
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