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Vaccine effectiveness estimates, 2004-2005 mumps outbreak, England
Cheryl Cohen1, Joanne M White, Emma J Savage
1National Institute for Communicable Diseases, Johannesburg, South Africa. cherylc@nicd.ac.za
Emerging Infectious Diseases
|March 21, 2007
Summary
Recent mumps outbreaks raise questions about measles, mumps, rubella (MMR) vaccine effectiveness. Studies show two MMR vaccine doses provide 95% effectiveness, but immunity wanes in older children, potentially causing outbreaks.
Area of Science:
- Immunology
- Epidemiology
- Public Health
Background:
- Recent large mumps outbreaks in the UK and US prompt concern regarding measles, mumps, rubella (MMR) vaccine effectiveness.
- Mumps outbreaks in vaccinated populations highlight the need to assess vaccine performance and duration of immunity.
Purpose of the Study:
- To estimate the effectiveness of the mumps component of the MMR vaccine using the screening method.
- To evaluate how MMR vaccine effectiveness changes with the number of doses and age.
Main Methods:
- The screening method was employed to assess MMR vaccine effectiveness.
- Data from 312 mumps cases in children eligible for two MMR vaccine doses in England (Jan 2004-Mar 2005) were analyzed.
Main Results:
- One dose of MMR vaccine showed 88% effectiveness, while two doses demonstrated 95% effectiveness.
- Effectiveness declined with age: one-dose effectiveness dropped from 96% in 2-year-olds to 66% in 11- to 12-year-olds.
- Two-dose effectiveness decreased from 99% in 5- to 6-year-olds to 86% in 11- to 12-year-olds.
Conclusions:
- Two doses of the MMR vaccine provide high initial protection against mumps.
- Waning immunity in older, vaccinated individuals may be a significant factor contributing to current mumps outbreaks.
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