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Published on: June 6, 2018
Probabilistic risk assessment for long-range atmospheric transport of radionuclides
Bent Lauritzen1, Alexander Baklanov, Alexander Mahura
1Risø National Laboratory, 4000 Roskilde, Denmark. bent.lauritzen@risoe.dk
Abstract:
A simplified means of probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) for long-range atmospheric transport based on a K-diffusion model is presented. In a case study, model parameters are estimated by comparing with the results of long-range atmospheric dispersion model calculations using one-year numerical weather prediction model data. It is found that the estimated ensemble mean provides a reasonable first approximation to the total dry and wet deposition from the one-year continuous release.
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