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Risk mapping and early warning systems for the control of meningitis in Africa
Luis E Cuevas1, Isabelle Jeanne, Anna Molesworth
1Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine, Liverpool, UK.
Abstract:
Epidemics of meningococcal meningitis in Africa have plagued the continent for over a century. These epidemics have a strong association with the environment and efforts are being made to develop models to predict both their location and their incidence. This review describes the predictive models based on climate/environmental information currently available, describes work in progress, and presents evidence that the distribution of the epidemics is changing in a pattern that is compatible with changes in the environment. Discussion of priorities for research in the context of the new conjugate vaccines in Africa is also provided.
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