The need for macrolides in hospitalised community-acquired pneumonia: propensity analysis
M Paul1, A D Nielsen, A Gafter-Gvili
1Department of Medicine E, Rabin Medical Center, Beilinson Hospital, 49100 Petah-Tiqva, Israel.
Abstract:
The present study compared beta-lactam macrolide ("combination") therapy versus beta-lactam alone ("monotherapy") for hospitalised community-acquired pneumonia, using propensity scores to adjust for the differences between patients. A prospective multinational observational study was carried out. Baseline patient and infection characteristics were used to develop a propensity score for combination therapy. Patients were matched by the propensity score (three decimal point precision) and compared with 30-day mortality and hospital stay. The propensity score was used as a covariate in a logistic model for mortality. Patients treated with monotherapy (n = 169) were older (mean+/-sd age 70.6+/-17.3 versus 65.0+/-19.6 yrs), had a higher chronic diseases score and a different clinical presentation compared with patients treated with combination therapy (n = 282). Unadjusted mortality was significantly higher with monotherapy (37 (22%) out of 169 versus 21 (7%) out of 282). Only 27 patients in the monotherapy group could be matched to 27 patients in the combination group using the propensity score. The mortality in these groups was identical, with three (11%) demises each. The multivariable odds ratio for mortality associated with combination therapy, adjusted for the propensity score and the Pneumonia Severity Index, was 0.69 (95% confidence interval 0.32-1.48). The benefit of combination therapy versus monotherapy cannot be reliably assessed in observational studies, since the propensity to prescribe these regimens differs markedly.
Insights
This study found that combination therapy for community-acquired pneumonia showed similar 30-day mortality to monotherapy after propensity score matching. Observational studies may not reliably assess combination therapy benefits due to differing prescription patterns.
Area of Science:
- Infectious Diseases
- Clinical Pharmacology
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) treatment often involves beta-lactam monotherapy or combination therapy.
- Observational studies are crucial for evaluating real-world treatment effectiveness but require robust statistical adjustment for confounding factors.
Purpose of the Study:
- To compare the 30-day mortality and hospital stay of hospitalized patients with CAP treated with beta-lactam monotherapy versus beta-lactam and macrolide combination therapy.
- To assess the utility of propensity score matching in adjusting for patient differences in observational studies of CAP treatment.
Main Methods:
- A prospective, multinational observational study involving 169 patients on monotherapy and 282 on combination therapy.
- Propensity scores were developed using baseline patient and infection characteristics to match patients.
- 30-day mortality and hospital stay were compared between matched groups; logistic regression adjusted for propensity score and Pneumonia Severity Index.
Main Results:
- Unadjusted 30-day mortality was significantly higher in the monotherapy group (22%) compared to the combination therapy group (7%).
- After propensity score matching, only 27 pairs of patients were identified, with identical 30-day mortality (11% each).
- The multivariable odds ratio for mortality with combination therapy was 0.69 (95% CI 0.32-1.48), indicating no statistically significant benefit.
Conclusions:
- The propensity to prescribe combination therapy versus monotherapy differs significantly, complicating reliable assessment in observational studies.
- Propensity score matching, while attempting to control for confounders, resulted in a small matched cohort, limiting definitive conclusions on treatment efficacy.
- Further research, potentially randomized controlled trials, may be needed to definitively establish the comparative effectiveness of combination therapy for CAP.
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