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An indepth actuarial assessment for wife assault recidivism: the Domestic Violence Risk Appraisal Guide
N Zoe Hilton1, Grant T Harris, Marnie E Rice
1Research Department, Mental Health Centre, 500 Church Street, Penetanguishene, ON, Canada L9M 1G3. zhilton@mhcp.on.ca
Abstract:
An actuarial tool, the Ontario Domestic Assault Risk Assessment (ODARA), predicts recidivism using only variables readily obtained by frontline police officers. Correctional settings permit more comprehensive assessments. In a subset of ODARA construction and cross-validation cases, 303 men with a police record for wife assault and a correctional system file, the VRAG, SARA, Danger Assessment, and DVSI also predicted recidivism, but the Hare Psychopathy Checklist (PCL-R) best improved prediction of recidivism, occurrence, frequency, severity, injury, and charges. In 346 new cases, ODARA and PCL-R independently predicted recidivism. An algorithm was derived for a combined instrument, the Domestic Violence Risk Appraisal Guide (DVRAG), and an experience table is presented (N=649). Results indicated the importance of antisociality in wife assault.
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