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Pediatric Index of Mortality 2 score in Italy: a multicenter, prospective, observational study
Andrea Wolfler1, Paolo Silvani, Massimo Musicco
1Department of Anesthesia and Intensive Care, Children's Hospital Vittore Buzzi, Istituti Clinici di Perfezionamento, Via Castelvetro 32, 20154 Milan, Italy. andrea.wolfler@icp.mi.it
Insights
The Pediatric Index of Mortality 2 (PIM2) score demonstrated strong performance in Italian pediatric intensive care units. Further validation in specific patient groups is recommended.
Area of Science:
- Pediatric critical care medicine
- Healthcare quality assessment
- Clinical scoring systems
Background:
- The Pediatric Index of Mortality 2 (PIM2) is a tool used to predict mortality in critically ill children.
- Assessing the performance of PIM2 in diverse populations is crucial for its accurate application.
- Italian pediatric intensive care units (PICUs) require validated tools for patient risk stratification.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the performance of the PIM2 score in Italian PICUs.
- To determine the discriminative and calibrative accuracy of PIM2 in a real-world setting.
- To provide data supporting the use of PIM2 for risk assessment in Italian pediatric patients.
Main Methods:
- Prospective, observational, multicenter study conducted over 1 year.
- Inclusion of 3266 consecutive patients aged 0-16 years across 18 Italian PICUs.
- Analysis of PIM2 score performance using discrimination (ROC curve) and calibration measures.
Main Results:
- The PIM2 score showed good discrimination, with an area under the ROC curve of 0.89 (95% CI 0.86-0.91).
- The scoring system demonstrated good calibration, with no significant differences between observed and predicted deaths across risk deciles (p = 0.26).
- Performance was consistent across the entire study population.
Conclusions:
- The PIM2 score is a well-performing tool for the Italian pediatric intensive care population.
- Reassessment of PIM2 in injury and postoperative patient groups may be beneficial in larger studies.
- The findings support the utility of PIM2 for risk stratification in Italian PICUs.
Objectives:
To assess the performance of the Pediatric Index of Mortality (PIM) 2 score in Italian pediatric intensive care units (PICUs).
Design:
Prospective, observational, multicenter, 1-year study.
Setting:
Eighteen medical-surgical PICUs.
Patients:
Consecutive patients (3266) aged 0-16 years admitted between 1 March 2004 and 28 February 2005.
Interventions:
None.
Measurements And Main Results:
To assess the performance of the PIM2 score, discrimination and calibration measures were applied to all children admitted to the 18 PICUs, in the entire population and in different groups divided for deciles of risk, age and admission diagnosis. There was good discrimination, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve of 0.89 (95% CI 0.86-0.91) and good calibration of the scoring system [non-significant differences between observed and predicted deaths when the population was stratified according to deciles of risk (chi2 9.86; 8 df, p = 0.26) for the whole population].
Conclusions:
The PIM2 score performed well in this sample of the Italian pediatric intensive care population. It may need to be reassessed in the injury and postoperative groups in larger studies.
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