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Predictors of 2-year drinking outcomes in a Swedish treatment sample
Maria C Bodin1, Anders Romelsjö
1Department of Public Health Sciences, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden. maria.bodin@ki.se
Background:
Few studies have investigated predictors of short- and longer-term outcomes in relatively well functioning treatment samples.
Methods:
Multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to identify predictors of continuous abstinence in 188 individuals during their 2nd year after private 12-step treatment in Sweden, and findings are related to a previous report on 1-year outcomes.
Results:
Individual baseline characteristics were not directly related to 2nd year outcomes, while a higher 1st-year drinking severity decreased the likelihood of 2nd-year abstinence. Satisfaction with treatment and affiliation with Alcoholics Anonymous, but not program aftercare during the 1st year increased the likelihood of 2nd-year abstinence.
Conclusion:
Results are consistent with previous studies showing that shorter-term outcomes are likely to be maintained, and that baseline characteristics and treatment factors account less for outcomes over longer terms.
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