[Predicting the probable passage of common bile duct calculi in patients with mechanical jaundice]

The authors propose a mathematical method of predictingthe passage of common bile duct calculi. An original mathematical formula derived by a computer allows a 98% accuracy of the prognosis. The estimations were based on the principal parameters influencingthe choledochal calculi movement defined with the help of the regression analysis. Such prediction simplifies the choice of therapeutic policy in mechanical jaundice due to choledocholithiasis.