T-wave alternans predicts mortality in a population undergoing a clinically indicated exercise test
Tuomo Nieminen1, Terho Lehtimäki, Jari Viik
1Department of Pharmacological Sciences, Medical School, University of Tampere, and Laboratory of Atherosclerosis Genetics, Department of Clinical Chemistry, Tampere University Hospital, Finland.
Insights
T-wave alternans (TWA) measured during exercise tests effectively predicts mortality risk in the general population. This electrocardiographic marker identifies individuals at higher risk for sudden cardiac death and overall mortality.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Clinical Electrophysiology
- Preventive Medicine
Background:
- T-wave alternans (TWA) is a marker of cardiac electrical instability.
- Predictive value of TWA in a general population undergoing exercise testing is not well established.
Purpose of the Study:
- To test the hypothesis that T-wave alternans (TWA) predicts mortality in a general population referred for a clinical exercise test.
Main Methods:
- 1037 patients undergoing exercise tests were included.
- Digital ECGs were analyzed for TWA using the modified moving average method.
- Risk stratification for all-cause, cardiovascular, and sudden cardiac death (SCD) was assessed.
Main Results:
- During follow-up, 59 deaths occurred, including 20 SCDs.
- Multivariate analysis revealed TWA > or = 65 microV significantly predicted SCD (RR 7.4), cardiovascular mortality (RR 6.0), and all-cause mortality (RR 3.3).
- These associations remained significant after adjusting for common risk factors.
Conclusions:
- Time-domain TWA analysis is a powerful predictor of mortality.
- TWA can effectively stratify risk in a general population undergoing clinical exercise testing.
Aims:
As a part of the Finnish Cardiovascular Study, we tested the hypothesis that T-wave alternans (TWA) predicts mortality in a general population of patients referred for a clinical exercise test.
Methods And Results:
A total of 1037 consecutive patients (mean age+/-SD of 58+/-13 years, 673 men and 364 women) with a clinically indicated exercise test and with technically successful electrocardiographic (ECG) data during a bicycle ergometer test were included in the study. Digital ECGs were recorded and TWA was analysed continuously with the time-domain modified moving average method. The maximum TWA value at heart rate (HR)<125 b.p.m. was derived and its capacity to stratify risk for all-cause death, cardiovascular death, and sudden cardiac death (SCD) was tested. During a follow-up of 44+/-7 months (mean+/-SD), 59 patients died; 34 were due to cardiovascular causes and 20 were due to SCD. In multivariate analysis after adjustment for age, sex, use of beta-blockers, functional class, maximal HR during exercise, previous myocardial infarction, and other common coronary risk factors, the relative risk of TWA>or=65 microV for SCD was 7.4 (95% CI, 2.8-19.4; P<0.001), for cardiovascular mortality 6.0 (95% CI, 2.8-12.8; P<0.001), and for all-cause mortality 3.3 (95% CI, 1.8-6.3; P=0.001).
Conclusion:
Time-domain TWA analysis powerfully predicts mortality in a general population undergoing a clinical exercise test.
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