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Are Phase 2 screening trials in oncology obsolete?
1Genentech Inc., 1 DNA Way, South San Francisco, CA, USA. erich@gene.com
Abstract:
Phase 2 studies in Oncology are controversial because on the one hand they are substantially underpowered for making assessments of activity and on the other hand they are used as a screen to determine whether a Phase 3 trial is warranted. In this paper, we undertake a systematic assessment of the properties of a Phase 2 study in the context of a drug development program. We will show that, when considering only the efficiency of a clinical trials program, Phase 2 screening trials can substantially increase the efficiency with which drugs that provide clinical benefit are identified. However, if there are substantial costs in identifying drug candidates to test in clinical trials as there are today, then Phase 2 screening trials as a prelude to Phase 3 trials may reduce the efficiency of the drug development process as a whole. .
Insights
Phase 2 oncology trials can improve drug discovery efficiency but may hinder overall development if candidate identification costs are high. These studies are crucial for determining Phase 3 trial viability.
Area of Science:
- Oncology
- Clinical Trials
- Drug Development
Background:
- Phase 2 oncology studies face scrutiny due to limited power for activity assessment.
- These trials serve as a critical screen for advancing to Phase 3 investigations.
Purpose of the Study:
- To systematically assess the properties and efficiency of Phase 2 studies within drug development programs.
- To evaluate the impact of Phase 2 screening on the overall efficiency of identifying beneficial oncology drugs.
Main Methods:
- Systematic assessment of Phase 2 study properties.
- Analysis of clinical trial program efficiency considering screening costs.
Main Results:
- Phase 2 screening trials can significantly enhance the identification of drugs offering clinical benefit.
- Conversely, high costs associated with identifying drug candidates may decrease overall development efficiency when using Phase 2 trials as a prelude to Phase 3.
Conclusions:
- Phase 2 studies present a complex trade-off in oncology drug development.
- Optimizing their role requires balancing screening efficiency with the costs of candidate identification for subsequent Phase 3 trials.
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