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PALEOCLIMATE: A Causality Problem for Milankovitch.

D B Karner, R A Muller

    Science (New York, N.Y.)
    |August 31, 2007
    PubMed
    Summary
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    Milankovitch theory suggests Northern Hemisphere insolation drives glacial cycles. However, recent coral studies challenge its role in the penultimate glaciation termination, prompting a re-evaluation of the data.

    Area of Science:

    • Paleoclimatology
    • Geophysics

    Background:

    • The Milankovitch theory posits that variations in solar radiation (insolation) in the Northern Hemisphere are the primary drivers of global glacial cycles.
    • Understanding glacial terminations is crucial for reconstructing Earth's climate history.

    Purpose of the Study:

    • To evaluate the applicability of the Milankovitch theory to the termination of the penultimate glaciation.
    • To discuss recent findings from global coral studies that may challenge existing climate models.

    Main Methods:

    • Review of recent studies on coral data from various global locations.
    • Analysis of insolation data and its correlation with glacial periods.

    Main Results:

    • Recent coral studies present evidence that casts doubt on the Milankovitch theory's direct applicability to the penultimate glacial termination.

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  • Discrepancies between paleoclimate data and theoretical predictions were highlighted.

    • Conclusions:

    • The current understanding of glacial cycle mechanisms, particularly terminations, may require revision.
    • A critical and unbiased re-examination of existing paleoclimate data is necessary to refine climate models.