Ethnic differences in the prognostic value of coronary artery calcification for all-cause mortality

Khurram Nasir1, Leslee J Shaw, Sandy T Liu

  • 1Cardiac MRI PET CT Program, Massachusetts General Hospital Boston, Harvard School of Medicine, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.

Insights

Coronary artery calcium (CAC) effectively predicts mortality across diverse ethnicities, with African Americans showing the highest risk, especially with elevated CAC scores. These findings highlight significant cardiovascular risk disparities by ethnicity.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiology
  • Public Health
  • Epidemiology

Background:

  • Heart disease case fatality rates show significant disparities among ethnic groups.
  • African Americans (AA) experienced 30% higher heart disease mortality rates than non-Hispanic whites (NHW) in 2001.
  • These disparities may stem from differing pathophysiological mechanisms and atherosclerosis effects.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To assess the prognostic value of coronary artery calcium (CAC) for predicting all-cause mortality.
  • To evaluate CAC in a large, ethnically diverse cohort of 14,812 patients.
  • To understand ethnic variations in cardiovascular risk prediction using CAC.

Main Methods:

  • Compared 10-year all-cause mortality rates (505 deaths) across ethnic groups: AA (n=637), Hispanic (HS, n=1,334), Asian (AS, n=1,065), and NHW (n=11,776).
  • Utilized risk-adjusted Cox proportional hazards models for analysis.
  • Examined the association between CAC scores and mortality risk across different ethnicities.

Main Results:

  • Ethnic minority patients were younger, more often had diabetes and hypertension, and were more frequently female.
  • Prevalence of CAC scores ≥100 was highest in NHW (31%) and lowest in HS (18%).
  • Overall survival was lowest for AA (83%) compared to AS (96%), NHW (93%), and HS (92%).
  • Relative risk ratios for mortality were highest for AA with CAC ≥400 (exceeding 16.1) and for HS with CAC ≥400 (7.9-9.0).
  • AS with CAC ≥1,000 showed a 6.6-fold higher mortality risk than NHW.

Conclusions:

  • African Americans with increasing subclinical coronary artery disease burden represent the highest-risk ethnic minority group.
  • These findings underscore substantial differences in cardiovascular risk stratified by ethnicity.
  • CAC is a valuable prognostic marker, particularly for identifying high-risk ethnic minority populations.
Abstract

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