[Prognostic value of exercise angioscintigraphy in coronary disease]

Multivariate survival analysis (MSA) was applied to 97 patients with coronary disease using the Cox model and a stepwise regression procedure. Seventeen variables including data based upon clinical examination, exercise testing (ET), and exercise angioscintigraphy (EAS) as well as coronary arteriography were studied in each patient. During the monitoring period (interval: 1-57 months), 38 patients sustained a cardiac event (recurrence of coronary disease or death). Neither resting left ventricular ejection fraction, nor coronary anatomy were significant prognostic variables. The only two variables identified by MSA were a variable of EAS: corrected ejection fraction at maximum exercise (p less than 0.008), and a variable of ET: maximum heart rate during exercise (p less than 0.03). This study shows that the prognosis of a coronary disease patient can best be assessed by two variables which are both exercise parameters.