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Computers in science and technology: early indications.

H Gerola, R E Gomory

    Science (New York, N.Y.)
    |July 6, 1984
    PubMed
    Summary
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    Computer technology is rapidly advancing, with smaller, faster, and cheaper circuits projected to increase computing power by 20% annually. Different professionals utilize this enhanced computing power in distinct ways, impacting scientific research and engineering.

    Area of Science:

    • Computer Science
    • Engineering
    • Scientific Research

    Background:

    • Computer technology has seen rapid advancements in logic and memory over the past two decades.
    • Continued growth is expected, with significant improvements in circuit speed, memory, storage, printers, and displays.
    • The annual growth in computing system capability is projected at approximately 20%.

    Purpose of the Study:

    • To predict the evolution and uses of rapidly advancing computer technology.
    • To understand how increasing computing power affects scientific and engineering activities.
    • To observe differential reactions of technical personnel to computer technology.

    Main Methods:

    • Analysis of trends in lithographic techniques and their impact on circuit miniaturization and speed.

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  • Projection of future growth rates for computing systems.
  • Observation of user behavior and technology adoption patterns among technical personnel at a research laboratory.

    • Main Results:

    • Expectations of a tenfold increase in central processing unit speed and greater increases in single-chip microprocessors by the end of the decade.
    • Engineers utilize computing power, displays, and communication relatively equally.
    • Management prioritizes communication, while scientists value computing power and displays most.

    Conclusions:

    • The rapid evolution of computer technology, particularly in processing power and displays, is significantly impacting scientific research and engineering.
    • Different professional groups (engineers, management, scientists) adopt and utilize these technological advancements in distinct ways based on their specific needs.
    • Understanding these user-specific adoption patterns is crucial for predicting the future integration and impact of computing power in various technical fields.