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Information: the ultimate frontier.

L M Branscomb

    Science (New York, N.Y.)
    |January 12, 1979
    PubMed
    Summary
    This summary is machine-generated.

    Future computers will shrink in size and cost, moving beyond silicon to potentially biological designs. This technological evolution promises personalized products and enhanced information access for everyone.

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    Area of Science:

    • Computer Science
    • Materials Science
    • Biotechnology

    Background:

    • Current semiconductor technology faces limitations for exponential growth.
    • Extrapolation of current trends leads to unrealistic miniaturization and cost.
    • The pursuit of smaller, faster, and cheaper computing is a continuous technological driver.

    Purpose of the Study:

    • To outline a 100-year technological scenario for computing and information systems.
    • To explore potential paradigm shifts beyond current silicon-based technologies.
    • To forecast the societal impact of advanced information systems.

    Main Methods:

    • Scenario-based forecasting of technological trends.
    • Analysis of limitations in current computing paradigms.

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  • Projection of future computing architectures and communication methods.

    • Main Results:

    • Computers will continue to miniaturize but will likely abandon silicon for novel technologies, possibly biological (DNA-based).
    • Future systems will prioritize information retrieval over storage, enabling mass customization at low prices.
    • Light wave communication will expand, necessitating user-friendly software and robust electronic information systems.

    Conclusions:

    • Technological advancements will lead to highly personalized products and democratized access to information.
    • Electronic information systems will reshape educational institutions, focusing them on knowledge creation.
    • The future promises expanded rights to information and expression, alongside protections against information misuse.