Pneumatic reduction of childhood intussusception. Is prediction of failure important?

Ana Catarina Fragoso1, Miguel Campos, Clara Tavares

  • 1Division of Pediatric Surgery, Faculty of Medicine of Porto, Hospital S, João, 4200-319 Porto, Portugal.

Journal of Pediatric Surgery
|September 13, 2007
PubMed

Insights

Pneumatic reduction is effective for childhood intussusception. Delayed diagnosis and high neutrophil counts predict enema failure, but the predictive model lacks clinical relevance for stricter exclusion criteria.

Area of Science:

  • Pediatric Surgery
  • Gastroenterology
  • Radiology

Background:

  • Intussusception is a common surgical emergency in children.
  • Enema reduction is a standard treatment, but exclusion criteria remain debated.
  • Identifying predictors of enema reduction failure is crucial for optimizing patient care.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To identify risk factors for air enema failure in pediatric intussusception.
  • To develop and validate a predictive model for enema reduction success.
  • To evaluate the clinical relevance of stricter exclusion criteria for enema reduction.

Main Methods:

  • A cross-sectional study of 164 children with intussusception treated with pneumatic reduction.
  • Logistic regression analysis to assess clinical parameters predicting enema failure.
  • Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis to evaluate model discrimination.

Main Results:

  • Overall pneumatic reduction efficacy was 85%, with 7.3% requiring manual reduction and 6.5% recurrence.
  • Delayed diagnosis (>24 hours) and elevated neutrophils were significant predictors of enema failure (OR 11.52 and 1.06, respectively).
  • The predictive model showed good discrimination (AUC 0.826) but limited positive predictive value for failure.

Conclusions:

  • Pneumatic reduction is safe and effective for childhood intussusception.
  • Delayed diagnosis and neutrophil count are key predictors of treatment outcome.
  • The developed model, despite high negative predictive values, has low clinical utility for predicting enema failure, suggesting no need for stricter exclusion criteria.
Abstract