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Predicting the Effectiveness of Population Replacement Strategy Using Mathematical Modeling
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Malthusian pressures, genocide, and ecocide.

Elihu D Richter1, Rony Blum, Tamar Berman

  • 1Hebrew University-Hadassah, Jerusalem, Israel.

International Journal of Occupational and Environmental Health
|October 6, 2007
PubMed
Summary

Ecocide, or large-scale environmental destruction, poses new genocide risks. Addressing ecocide and resource conflicts is crucial for preventing future atrocities and protecting vulnerable populations.

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Area of Science:

  • Environmental Science
  • Sociology
  • Political Science

Background:

  • Traditional genocide models focus on authoritarian perpetrators and bystander indifference.
  • These models overlook the significant risks posed by ecocide and environmental degradation.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate the influence of Malthusian pressures on recent genocides.
  • To examine the role of ecocide and ecological abuse in creating these pressures.
  • To identify strategies for preventing and deterring genocide linked to environmental factors.

Main Methods:

  • Analysis of historical reports and demographic studies.
  • Examination of time trends in genocides and ecocidal events.
  • Assessment of ecological abuse impacts on resource competition.

Main Results:

  • Malthusian pressures and resource rivalries alone do not directly cause genocide.
  • These pressures may have intensified genocide predictors in specific contexts (e.g., Rwanda, Darfur).
  • Genocide leads to severe, long-term environmental damage, increasing survivor risk.

Conclusions:

  • Ecocide, defined as large-scale ecosystem destruction, severely impacts health, sustenance, and can cause forced displacement.
  • Effective international early warning and response systems are vital for genocide prevention.
  • Preventative strategies must include resolving environmental resource conflicts and addressing toxic risks and habitat destruction, with ecocide potentially redefined as a crime against humanity.