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Updated: Jul 11, 2026

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A Method of Trigonometric Modelling of Seasonal Variation Demonstrated with Multiple Sclerosis Relapse Data
Published on: December 9, 2015
Multiple sclerosis: relapses and timing of remissions
Gerardo Iuliano1, Rosa Napoletano, Antonio Esposito
1Azienda Ospedaliera, Ospedali Riuniti di Salerno, U.O. Neurologia, Centro Provinciale Sclerosi Multipla, Salerno, Italia. geriul@tin.it
European Neurology
|October 6, 2007
Summary
Most multiple sclerosis patients experience remission after a relapse, but incomplete recovery may be linked to subsequent relapses. Understanding relapse patterns aids in predicting recovery outcomes.
Area of Science:
- Neurology
- Clinical Research
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Multiple sclerosis (MS) is characterized by relapses, which are sudden worsening of neurological function.
- Understanding remission and recovery patterns post-relapse is crucial for patient management.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine the frequency and timing of clinical remission following multiple sclerosis relapses.
- To identify factors associated with incomplete neurological recovery after relapses.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective analysis of 223 relapses in 62 multiple sclerosis patients.
- Utilized Kurtzke's Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) scores assessed quarterly for one year pre- and post-relapse.
- Defined remission as improvement in EDSS score from relapse baseline and recovery as return to pre-relapse EDSS score.
Main Results:
- 78% of patients showed improvement at 3 months, and 86% at 6 months post-relapse.
- Full recovery to pre-relapse EDSS scores was achieved by 55% at 3 months and 71% at 6 months.
- Incomplete recovery was observed in 30% of relapses, reduced to 15% when excluding short-term relapses.
Conclusions:
- Incomplete remissions are not solely due to the relapse's severity but are associated with the occurrence of subsequent relapses.
- The short-term relapse rate appears to be a significant factor influencing the completeness of recovery.

