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Updated: Jul 10, 2026

Estimating Bilateral Atrial Function by Cardiovascular Magnetic Resonance Feature Tracking in Patients with Paroxysmal Atrial Fibrillation
Published on: July 20, 2022
Signal-averaged P wave duration and the long-term risk of permanent atrial fibrillation
Ulrik Dixen1, Mette Vang Larsen, Lasse Ravn
1Department of Cardiology, University Hospital of Gentofte, Copenhagen, Denmark. ulrikdixen@mail.dk
Insights
Prolonged signal-averaged P wave duration (SAPWD) predicts the long-term risk of developing permanent atrial fibrillation (AF). A longer SAPWD indicates a higher risk of permanent AF, highlighting its role in atrial remodeling.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Electrophysiology
- Medical Research
Background:
- Atrial fibrillation (AF) recurrence is a significant clinical concern.
- Identifying predictors of permanent AF is crucial for patient management.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the long-term risk of permanent AF development.
- To assess the association between signal-averaged P wave duration (SAPWD) and permanent AF.
- To examine clinical and echocardiographic factors influencing permanent AF risk.
Main Methods:
- Observational study design.
- 131 patients with prior ECG-documented AF and restored sinus rhythm were followed long-term.
- Analysis of clinical, echocardiographic, and electrophysiological parameters, including SAPWD.
Main Results:
- Prolonged SAPWD was significantly associated with an increased risk of permanent AF (p=0.006).
- The 3-year risk of permanent AF was higher with prolonged SAPWD (180 ms) compared to normal SAPWD (130 ms).
- Age, gender, left atrial size, and AF history duration did not show prognostic value. Hypertension appeared to reduce risk, possibly due to ACE-inhibitor use.
Conclusions:
- Prolonged SAPWD serves as a significant risk factor for the long-term development of permanent AF.
- SAPWD is a valuable marker of atrial remodeling and predicts AF progression.
- Further research may explore interventions targeting atrial remodeling to prevent permanent AF.
Objective:
To assess the long-term risk of developing permanent AF in relation to the signal-averaged P wave duration (SAPWD) and clinical and echocardiographic characteristics.
Design:
In an observational study design we studied 131 patients with earlier ECG-documented AF and successfully restored sinus rhythm attending a long-term, follow-up visit at hospital or at home. Established permanent AF was examined in relation to primary clinical, echocardiographic, and electrophysiological parameters.
Results:
Only prolonged SAPWD (p=0.006) was associated with an increased risk of development of permanent AF. The risk of permanent AF after 3 years follow-up was 0.72 with an SAPWD equal to 180 ms versus 0.39 with a normal SAPWD (130 ms). We found no prognostic effect of age, gender, dilated left atrium, long duration of AF history, or long duration of the most recent episode of AF. Co-existing hypertension reduced the risk of permanent AF; this could be explained by concomitant treatment with angiotensin-converting-enzyme-inhibitors.
Conclusion:
Prolonged SAPWD (a marker of atrial remodelling) appears to be a risk factor for long-term development of permanent AF.
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