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The future pediatrician: the challenge of chronic illness
1Department of Pediatrics, The Lucile Packard Children's Hospital and Center for Health Policy/Center for Primary Care and Outcomes Research, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94304-6019, USA. pwise@stanford.edu
Insights
Childhood illness trends show fewer acute cases but more chronic diseases. Current pediatric care models struggle with this shift, necessitating significant changes in organization, funding, and training for better child health outcomes.
Area of Science:
- Pediatric epidemiology
- Public health policy
- Healthcare systems research
Background:
- Childhood illness patterns have evolved significantly over recent decades.
- A shift from acute pediatric illnesses to chronic conditions is evident.
- Existing pediatric healthcare structures may not adequately address these epidemiological changes.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze the changing epidemiology of childhood diseases in the United States.
- To evaluate the alignment of current pediatric practice with these epidemiological shifts.
- To identify areas for reform in pediatric healthcare.
Main Methods:
- Conducted a critical literature review.
- Performed selected analyses of national datasets, including the National Health Interview Survey, National Hospital Discharge Survey, and National Vital Statistics System.
- Examined trends in childhood morbidity and mortality over several decades.
Main Results:
- The incidence of serious acute childhood illnesses has decreased.
- The prevalence of chronic diseases among children has increased.
- Childhood morbidity and mortality are increasingly concentrated in chronic disorders.
Conclusions:
- Current pediatric practice structures are ill-equipped to manage the rising burden of chronic childhood diseases.
- Major reforms in the organization, financing, and training within pediatric healthcare are required.
- Adapting pediatric care is crucial for addressing the evolving health needs of children.
Abstract:
To relate the changing epidemiology of childhood to current patterns of pediatric practice in the United States, a critical literature review and selected analyses of national datasets, including the National Health Interview Survey, the National Hospital Discharge Survey, and National Vital Statistics System, were conducted. Trends over the past several decades suggest that the incidence of serious acute illness in children has fallen while the prevalence of chronic disease has risen. These trends have resulted in a growing concentration of serious childhood morbidity and mortality into chronic disorders. Current pediatric practice structures appear to be poorly suited to meet the growing demands of chronic disease in children and likely will require major reform in organization, financing, and training.
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