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Updated: Jul 10, 2026

Generation of Escape Variants of Neutralizing Influenza Virus Monoclonal Antibodies
Published on: August 29, 2017
Barriers to antigenic escape by pathogens: trade-off between reproductive rate and antigenic mutability
1Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California, Irvine, CA 92697-2525, USA. safrank@uci.edu
Background:
A single measles vaccination provides lifelong protection. No antigenic variants that escape immunity have been observed. By contrast, influenza continually evolves new antigenic variants, and the vaccine has to be updated frequently with new strains. Both measles and influenza are RNA viruses with high mutation rates, so the mutation rate alone cannot explain the differences in antigenic variability.
Results:
We develop a new hypothesis to explain antigenic stasis versus change. We first note that the antigenically static viruses tend to have high reproductive rates and to concentrate infection in children, whereas antigenically variable viruses such as influenza tend to spread more widely across age classes. We argue that, for pathogens in a naive host population that spread more rapidly in younger individuals than in older individuals, natural selection weights more heavily a rise in reproductive rate. By contrast, pathogens that spread more readily among older individuals gain more by antigenic escape, so natural selection weights more heavily antigenic mutability.
Conclusion:
These divergent selective pressures on reproductive rate and antigenic mutability may explain some of the observed differences between pathogens in age-class bias, reproductive rate, and antigenic variation.
Insights
Measles vaccines offer lifelong immunity, unlike influenza vaccines that require frequent updates. This study proposes that a virus's tendency to infect children versus spreading across all age groups influences its evolution, impacting antigenic stability.
Area of Science:
- Virology
- Evolutionary Biology
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Measles vaccination provides lifelong immunity with no observed antigenic variants.
- Influenza viruses continuously evolve, necessitating frequent vaccine updates due to new antigenic variants.
- High mutation rates in both measles and influenza RNA viruses do not solely explain differences in antigenic variability.
Purpose of the Study:
- To propose a novel hypothesis explaining the contrasting antigenic stasis of measles and antigenic change in influenza.
- To investigate the role of host population structure and age-specific transmission dynamics in viral evolution.
Main Methods:
- Comparative analysis of viral characteristics and host-pathogen interactions.
- Hypothesizing selective pressures based on age-class bias in transmission.
- Evaluating the influence of reproductive rate versus antigenic mutability on viral evolution.
Main Results:
- Viruses with high reproductive rates concentrating infection in children exhibit antigenic stasis.
- Viruses spreading widely across age classes, like influenza, show greater antigenic variability.
- Natural selection favors increased reproductive rate in viruses primarily infecting younger populations.
- Natural selection favors antigenic mutability in viruses that spread more readily among older individuals.
Conclusions:
- Divergent selective pressures related to age-class bias and transmission dynamics influence viral evolution.
- These pressures can explain observed differences in reproductive rates and antigenic variation among pathogens.
- The study offers a framework for understanding why some viruses remain antigenically stable while others rapidly evolve.
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