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Published on: August 9, 2024
Screening for left ventricular systolic dysfunction in high-risk patients in primary-care: a cost-benefit analysis
Kevin M Goode1, Andrew L Clark, Janet A Bristow
1Department of Cardiology, Castle Hill Hospital, Kingston-upon-Hull, UK. kevin.goode@hey.nhs.uk
Insights
Screening high-risk patients for left ventricular systolic dysfunction (LVSD) in primary care identifies more cases. A logistic regression model combining NT-proBNP, QRS duration, symptoms, and myocardial infarction evidence offers significant cost benefits.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Primary Care Medicine
- Diagnostic Strategy Evaluation
Background:
- Cost-effective identification of undiagnosed left ventricular systolic dysfunction (LVSD) is crucial.
- Screening strategies are needed to detect LVSD in high-risk populations.
- Early detection of LVSD improves patient outcomes.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the cost-benefit of screening high-risk primary care patients for LVSD (ejection fraction <40%).
- To compare various screening strategies for LVSD detection.
- To assess the utility of NT-proBNP, QRS duration, symptoms, and myocardial infarction (MI) evidence.
Main Methods:
- Recruitment of high-risk patients from primary care practices, excluding those with known LVSD.
- Performance of echocardiography, electrocardiography, and blood tests, blinded to NT-proBNP results.
- Application of logistic regression (LR) and receiver-operating characteristic analysis to assess predictors of LVSD.
Main Results:
- 7.5% of assessed patients had undiagnosed LVSD.
- NT-proBNP, QRS duration, symptoms, and MI were independent predictors of LVSD (p<0.014).
- The LR model demonstrated high accuracy (AUC 0.89) and reduced costs by 24.1% and echocardiograms by 50.1% compared to echocardiography alone.
Conclusions:
- Screening high-risk groups in primary care significantly increases the detection rate of undiagnosed LVSD.
- An LR model integrating NT-proBNP, QRS duration, symptoms, and MI evidence provides substantial cost benefits.
- This combined approach enhances diagnostic efficiency and cost-effectiveness in primary care settings.
Background:
Appropriate screening strategies are needed to cost effectively identify patients with undiagnosed and untreated left ventricular systolic dysfunction (LVSD).
Aim:
To investigate the cost-benefit of screening high-risk patients in primary-care for LVSD (EF<40%) using various screening strategies.
Methods:
Patients considered at high-risk of developing LVSD were recruited from three primary-care practices. Patients with known LVSD were excluded. Echocardiography, electrocardiography and blood tests were performed blinded to an NT-proBNP result. Logistic regression (LR) and receiver-operating characteristic analysis were used to assess the univariate and multivariable utility of NT-proBNP, QRS duration, symptoms and evidence of myocardial infarction (MI) to detect LVSD.
Results:
427 patients were assessed. 7.5% had undiagnosed LVSD. NT-proBNP, QRS, symptoms and MI were independent predictors of LVSD (p<0.014) and the resultant LR-model had an area-under-the-curve of 0.89 (0.84-0.94) and specificity of 54% (51-79%) at a sensitivity of 100%. The LR-model avoided 24.1% (18.1- 48.3%) of the cost and 50.1% (44.1-74.3%) of the echocardiograms compared to screening using echocardiography alone.
Conclusions:
Screening high-risk groups in primary-care increases the pick-up rate for undiagnosed LVSD and using an LR-model combining NT-proBNP, QRS, symptoms and evidence of MI has significant cost benefits.
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