Screening for left ventricular systolic dysfunction in high-risk patients in primary-care: a cost-benefit analysis

Kevin M Goode1, Andrew L Clark, Janet A Bristow

  • 1Department of Cardiology, Castle Hill Hospital, Kingston-upon-Hull, UK. kevin.goode@hey.nhs.uk

Insights

Screening high-risk patients for left ventricular systolic dysfunction (LVSD) in primary care identifies more cases. A logistic regression model combining NT-proBNP, QRS duration, symptoms, and myocardial infarction evidence offers significant cost benefits.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiology
  • Primary Care Medicine
  • Diagnostic Strategy Evaluation

Background:

  • Cost-effective identification of undiagnosed left ventricular systolic dysfunction (LVSD) is crucial.
  • Screening strategies are needed to detect LVSD in high-risk populations.
  • Early detection of LVSD improves patient outcomes.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To evaluate the cost-benefit of screening high-risk primary care patients for LVSD (ejection fraction <40%).
  • To compare various screening strategies for LVSD detection.
  • To assess the utility of NT-proBNP, QRS duration, symptoms, and myocardial infarction (MI) evidence.

Main Methods:

  • Recruitment of high-risk patients from primary care practices, excluding those with known LVSD.
  • Performance of echocardiography, electrocardiography, and blood tests, blinded to NT-proBNP results.
  • Application of logistic regression (LR) and receiver-operating characteristic analysis to assess predictors of LVSD.

Main Results:

  • 7.5% of assessed patients had undiagnosed LVSD.
  • NT-proBNP, QRS duration, symptoms, and MI were independent predictors of LVSD (p<0.014).
  • The LR model demonstrated high accuracy (AUC 0.89) and reduced costs by 24.1% and echocardiograms by 50.1% compared to echocardiography alone.

Conclusions:

  • Screening high-risk groups in primary care significantly increases the detection rate of undiagnosed LVSD.
  • An LR model integrating NT-proBNP, QRS duration, symptoms, and MI evidence provides substantial cost benefits.
  • This combined approach enhances diagnostic efficiency and cost-effectiveness in primary care settings.
Abstract

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