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Blood glucose and cerebrovascular disease in nondiabetic patients
Christopher Nielson1, Richard M Fleming
1University of Nevada Reno School of Medicine, NV, USA. cnielson@med.unr.edu
Insights
Elevated blood glucose levels, even in the impaired fasting glucose range, significantly increase the risk of cerebrovascular disease in nondiabetic individuals. This finding highlights the importance of monitoring glucose for stroke prevention.
Area of Science:
- Endocrinology
- Neurology
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Impaired fasting glucose (IFG) is a prediabetic state.
- Cerebrovascular disease (CVD) encompasses conditions like stroke and transient ischemic attacks (TIA).
- The association between IFG and CVD risk in nondiabetic individuals requires further elucidation.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the association between elevated blood glucose levels within the IFG range and the incidence of cerebrovascular disease.
- To assess this risk specifically in patients without diagnosed diabetes.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective analysis of 28,477 nondiabetic patients' medical records.
- Evaluation of baseline morning blood glucose levels (mg/dL) and subsequent diagnoses of stroke or TIA.
- Statistical analysis using Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox proportional hazards models, adjusting for covariates.
Main Results:
- Higher baseline glucose (100-126 mg/dL vs. <100 mg/dL) was linked to a 31% increase in CVD diagnoses.
- Incidence rates were 5.3 per 1000 patient-years for glucose >100 mg/dL versus 3.9 for glucose <100 mg/dL (P < .001).
- Adjusted Cox model showed an increased hazard for CVD events (HR 1.24, 95% CI 1.05-1.46) with elevated fasting glucose.
Conclusions:
- Elevated fasting blood glucose levels, even below the diabetic threshold, are significantly associated with a higher risk of developing cerebrovascular disease.
- These findings underscore the importance of identifying and managing IFG to mitigate CVD risk in the general population.
- Further research into the mechanisms linking IFG to CVD is warranted.
Abstract:
The objective of this study was to determine if elevations in blood glucose, in a range classified as impaired fasting glucose, are associated with a greater incidence of cerebrovascular disease in nondiabetic patients. Morning blood glucose determinations were evaluated with respect to subsequent stroke using records from 28 477 nondiabetic patients. Strokes and transient ischemic attacks (TIA) were identified from ICD-9 coding for a new event more than a year after baseline glucose determinations. Of the patients studied, 593 suffered stroke or TIA over a total risk analysis time of 100 982 years. Higher baseline morning glucose (100 to 126 mg/dL vs under 100 mg/dL) was associated with 31% more diagnoses (2.4% vs 1.8%, P < .001). Incidence rate was 5.3 per 1000 patient-years for those patients with glucose over 100 mg/dL and 3.9 per 1000 patient-years for those with glucose under 100 mg/dL (P <.001). Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that elevated baseline glucose was associated with a progressive, increased risk with time. A Cox proportional hazards model with adjustment for age, body mass index, sex, creatinine, lipids, smoking, and medications showed that elevated fasting glucose was associated with an increased hazard for a new event (hazard ratio 1.24, 95% CI 1.05-1.46, glucose over 100 mg/dL vs under 100 mg/dL). Thus, patients with higher baseline blood glucose levels in the absence of diabetes and after adjustment for covariants have a significantly greater risk for development of cerebrovascular disease.
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