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Published on: January 28, 2020
Predictors of mortality and adverse outcome in elderly high-risk patients undergoing percutaneous coronary
Emma Miranda Malpica1, Marco Antonio Peña Duque, José Castellanos
1The National Institute of Cardiology, Mexico City.
Insights
Predicting complications in elderly patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) is crucial. Factors like heart failure, diabetes, and atrial fibrillation (AF) predict mortality and major adverse cardiac events (MACE) after PCI.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Interventional Cardiology
- Geriatric Medicine
Background:
- Elderly patients represent a growing population undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI).
- Risk stratification in this demographic is essential for optimizing outcomes.
- Predictors of mortality and major adverse cardiac events (MACE) in this group require further elucidation.
Purpose of the Study:
- To identify predictors of in-hospital and long-term mortality.
- To identify predictors of major adverse cardiac events (MACE) in elderly patients (> or = 80 years) undergoing PCI.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective analysis of clinical and interventional characteristics.
- Inclusion of 73 patients aged 80 years and older.
- Primary endpoints included in-hospital and long-term mortality, and a composite MACE endpoint.
Main Results:
- In-hospital mortality was 16.4% and in-hospital MACE was 19%.
- Long-term mortality was 11.3% and long-term MACE was 16.4%.
- Key predictors identified included Killip Class III-IV, heart failure, cardiogenic shock, TIMI flow 0-2, diabetes mellitus, contrast nephropathy, and atrial fibrillation (AF).
Conclusions:
- Identification of specific clinical factors can aid in predicting complications.
- These predictors may assist in risk-stratifying elderly patients undergoing PCI.
- Proactive management based on these predictors could improve patient outcomes.
Objectives:
We sought to identify predictors of in-hospital and long-term (> 1 year) mortality and major adverse cardiac events (MACE) in elderly patients referred for percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI).
Methods:
Seventy-three patients (> or = 80 years) were included. Clinical and interventional characteristics were collected retrospectively. Primary end points were in-hospital and long-term mortality, and a composite of non-fatal myocardial infarction, target vessel revascularization, urgent coronary artery bypass graft surgery, and death (MACE).
Results:
Eighty-three percent of the patients had acute coronary syndromes, 43% three-vessel disease, and 42% heart failure. In-hospital mortality and MACE were 16.4% and 19%, respectively. Long-term mortality and MACE were 11.3% and 16.4%, respectively. Univariate characteristics associated with in-hospital mortality and MACE were: Killip Class III-IV, heart failure, cardiogenic shock, TIMI 0-2 flow prior and after intervention, diabetes mellitus, contrast nephropathy, and presence of A-V block or atrial fibrillation (AF). Long term predictors for mortality were the presence of heart failure, cardiogenic shock, diabetes mellitus, TIMI flow 0-2 before and after intervention, and A-V block or AF.
Conclusion:
The identification of the factors previously mentioned may help to predict complications in elderly patients.
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