Ab initio thermodynamic modeling of distal multisite transcription regulation

Transcription regulation typically involves the binding of proteins over long distances on multiple DNA sites that are brought close to each other by the formation of DNA loops. The inherent complexity of assembling regulatory complexes on looped DNA challenges the understanding of even the simplest genetic systems, including the prototypical lac operon. Here we implement a scalable approach based on thermodynamic molecular properties to model ab initio systems regulated through multiple DNA sites with looping. We show that this approach applied to the lac operon accurately predicts the system behavior for a wide range of cellular conditions, which include the transcription rate over five orders of magnitude as a function of the repressor concentration for wild type and all seven combinations of deletions of three operators, as well as the observed induction curves for cells with and without active catabolite activator protein. Our results provide new insights into the detailed functioning of the lac operon and reveal an efficient avenue to incorporate the required underlying molecular complexity into fully predictive models of gene regulation.