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Updated: Jul 8, 2026

Establishment and Evaluation of a Risk Prediction Model for Pathological Escalation of Gastric Low-Grade Intraepithelial Neoplasia
Published on: February 16, 2024
Risk factors for high-grade dysplasia or carcinoma in colorectal adenoma cases treated with endoscopic polypectomy
Manabu Kurome1, Jun Kato, Toru Nawa
1Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Okayama University Graduate School of Medicine, Dentistry and Pharmaceutical Sciences, Kagawa, Japan.
Objective:
Our aim is to establish the risk factors for carrying high-grade dysplasia or carcinoma by analyzing endoscopically treated adenoma cases.
Methods:
Patients who underwent endoscopic polypectomy at our hospitals between January 2003 and August 2004 were analyzed.
Results:
A total of 889 patients (mean age: 63+/-11 years), and 1486 adenomas resected from these patients, were included in the analysis. Seventy-five adenomas (5%) from 72 patients (8%) were found to have high-grade dysplasia or carcinoma. Among patient factors, female sex [odds ratio (OR) 2.25, 95% confidence intervals (CI)=1.34-3.76], presence of multiple adenomas (OR=2.15, 95% CI=1.15-4.00), older age (OR=1.02, 95% CI=1.00-1.04), and rectal bleeding as the indication for colonoscopy (OR=2.57, 95% CI=1.34-4.92) were identified as the significant risk factors for carrying high-grade dysplasia or carcinoma using the multivariate analysis. In addition, a size of > or = 10 mm (OR=10.83, 95% CI=5.86-20.0), flat appearance (OR=3.91, 95% CI=2.20-6.95), and location on the left side of the colon (OR=1.80, 95% CI=1.03-3.13) were identified as tumor risk factors.
Conclusion:
Distinct factors were proved to be associated with high-grade dysplasia or carcinoma. These results are useful to select lesions that require immediate treatment. Moreover, female sex as a risk factor raises an interesting problem regarding the progression from adenoma to carcinoma.
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