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A Method of Trigonometric Modelling of Seasonal Variation Demonstrated with Multiple Sclerosis Relapse Data
Published on: December 9, 2015
Contribution of relapses to disability in multiple sclerosis
Claire Hirst1, Gillian Ingram, Owen Pearson
1Helen Durham Neuro-inflammatory Centre, Department of Neurology, University Hospital of Wales, Heath Park, Cardiff, UK. Clairehirst_uk@yahoo.co.uk
Multiple sclerosis relapses often cause lasting disability, with about half of patients experiencing incomplete recovery. Factors like sex, age, or lesion site do not influence this worsening of multiple sclerosis (MS) disability.
Area of Science:
- Neurology
- Immunology
- Clinical Medicine
Background:
- The long-term impact of multiple sclerosis (MS) relapses on disability progression is not fully understood.
- Existing evidence suggests relapses significantly influence patient prognosis.
- Quantifying relapse contribution to fixed disability is crucial for MS management.
Purpose of the Study:
- To assess the outcome of relapses in a large cohort of multiple sclerosis patients.
- To identify prognostic factors influencing recovery post-relapse.
- To determine the contribution of relapses to accumulated fixed disability in MS.
Main Methods:
- Assessed 279 relapses in 182 patients using the Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS).
- Evaluated patients before, during, and after relapse for disability changes.
- Analyzed factors including sex, age, and relapse site for their impact on recovery.
Main Results:
- Mean EDSS increased from 3.73 pre-relapse to 5.18 during relapse and 4.23 post-relapse.
- Average residual disability increase was 0.50 EDSS points.
- Nearly 50% of patients had at least a 0.5 EDSS point increase, and 32.7% had at least a 1-point increase post-relapse.
- Recovery was incomplete in about half of the patients, irrespective of sex, age, or relapse site.
Conclusions:
- Acute relapses frequently lead to objective worsening of disability in multiple sclerosis patients.
- Recovery from relapses is often incomplete and not significantly influenced by patient demographics or lesion location.
- Therapies aimed at reducing relapse frequency or severity may prevent long-term disability accumulation in MS.
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