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Published on: September 4, 2016
Cost-effective suppression and eradication of invasive predators
Peter W J Baxter1, John L Sabo, Chris Wilcox
1School of Botany, University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC 3010, Australia. p.baxter@uq.edu.au
Predator control is crucial for conserving native species. When eradication is not feasible, targeting predators when most abundant offers the best return on investment for prey conservation under budget constraints.
Area of Science:
- Ecology
- Conservation Biology
- Mathematical Modeling
Background:
- Predators significantly impact vulnerable prey populations, necessitating control for native species conservation.
- Complete predator eradication is often unachievable due to budget limitations; predator suppression may suffice.
- Lotka-Volterra predator-prey models are foundational for understanding population dynamics.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of various predator control strategies for prey conservation.
- To compare five distinct predator control methods under different management success scenarios.
- To identify optimal predator control strategies for budget-limited conservation efforts.
Main Methods:
- Utilized a stochastic Lotka-Volterra predator-prey model.
- Simulated five control strategies: immediate eradication, fixed-number, fixed-rate, upper-trigger, and lower-trigger harvest.
- Assessed strategy performance based on prey population size, extinction probability, and return on investment, considering varying management success.
Main Results:
- Immediate eradication maximized prey population protection when management success was high.
- Reduced management success disproportionately impacted eradication, fixed-number, and lower-trigger strategies.
- Upper-trigger harvest demonstrated the lowest prey extinction probability and highest return on investment, especially when predator removal is challenging at low densities.
Conclusions:
- Upper-trigger harvest, targeting predators at high densities, is the most cost-effective strategy for prey conservation with limited resources.
- This approach maximizes conservation gains per unit cost by focusing efforts when predator impact and removal feasibility are highest.
- Targeted, density-dependent predator control is superior to eradication or constant removal when budgets are constrained and eradication is unlikely.
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