Quantitative structure-carcinogenicity relationship for detecting structural alerts in nitroso compounds: species, rat; sex, female; route of administration, gavage

Chemical carcinogenicity is of primary interest because it drives much of the current regulatory actions regarding new and existing chemicals and conventional experimental tests take around 3 years to design, conduct, and interpret in addition to costing hundreds of millions of dollars, millions of skilled personnel hours, and millions of animal lives. Thus, theoretical approaches such as the one proposed here, quantitative structure-activity relationship (QSAR), are increasingly used for assessing the risks of environmental chemicals, since they can markedly reduce costs, avoid animal testing, and speed up policy decisions. This paper reports a QSAR study based on the TOPological Substructural MOlecular DEsign (TOPS-MODE) approach, aimed at predicting the rodent carcinogenicity of a set of nitroso compounds selected from the Carcinogenic Potency Data Base (CPDB). The set comprises 26 nitroso compounds, divided into N-nitrosoureas, N-nitrosamines, and C-nitroso compounds, which have been bioassayed in female rats using gavage as a route of administration. Here, we are especially concerned in discerning the role of structural parameters on the carcinogenic activity of this family of compounds. First, the regression model derived, upon removal of two identified nitrosamine outliers, is able to account for more than 86% of the variance in the experimental activity. Second, TOPS-MODE afforded the bond contributions (expressed as fragment contributions to the carcinogenic activity) that can be interpreted and provided tools for better understanding of the mechanisms of carcinogenesis. Finally and, most importantly, we demonstrate the potential use of this approach toward the recognition of structural alerts for carcinogenicity predictions.