Declining trends of infant, child and under-five mortality in Nepal

Demographic and Health Surveys conducted quinquennially in 1996, 2001 and 2006 show that infant, child and under-five mortality in Nepal have declined steadily at least over the past 25 years. Estimates based on exponential-decline regression curves fitted to the 15-year data immediately preceding each survey, aggregated by 5-year period, show the infant, child and under-five mortality rates for the period 1986-1990 to be 106, 58 and 158 per 1000 live births and 52, 17 and 67 per 1000 live births for 2001-2005, respectively. The projected rates, assuming that the policy and program efforts are sustained, for the period 2011-2015 are 32, 7 and 38 per 1000 live births. Nepal is most likely to achieve the Millennium Development Goals (MDG) target of a two-thirds reduction in child mortality by 2015, the end of the MDG countdown.