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Related Experiment Videos

Trial order affects cue interaction in contingency judgment.

G B Chapman1

  • 1Department of Decision Sciences, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia 19104-6366.

Journal of Experimental Psychology. Learning, Memory, and Cognition
|September 1, 1991
PubMed
Summary
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Contingency judgment, or how people judge cue predictiveness, is influenced by trial order. Neither associative nor statistical models fully explain this effect, suggesting a need for revised associative accounts.

Area of Science:

  • Cognitive Psychology
  • Decision Making
  • Human Judgment

Background:

  • Contingency judgment research shows cue predictiveness depends on other cues.
  • Associative and statistical models explain cue interaction but differ on trial order effects.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate how trial order affects cue interaction in contingency judgment.
  • To evaluate the predictive accuracy of associative and statistical models under varying trial orders.

Main Methods:

  • Five experiments were conducted with college students.
  • Participants judged the predictive strength of medical symptoms for a disease based on trial-by-trial data.

Main Results:

  • Trial order significantly influences how cues interact during judgment.

Related Experiment Videos

  • Existing associative and statistical models do not fully account for the observed data patterns.

    • Conclusions:

    • The findings challenge current associative and statistical models of contingency judgment.
    • A modified associative model may be necessary to explain the impact of trial order on cue interaction.