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Published on: March 27, 2018
Volume-outcome relationship for coronary artery bypass grafting in an era of decreasing volume
Rocco Ricciardi1, Beth A Virnig, James W Ogilvie
1Department of Colon and Rectal Surgery, Lahey Clinic, Tufts University, 41 Mall Rd, Burlington, MA 01805, USA. rocco.ricciardi@lahey.org
Insights
Despite a decline in coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) volume since 1997, in-hospital mortality rates have also decreased. This study found that lower CABG volume is associated with improved patient outcomes, challenging previous assumptions.
Area of Science:
- Cardiovascular Surgery
- Health Services Research
- Public Health
Background:
- Coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) is a major cardiac procedure.
- Concerns exist regarding the impact of decreasing procedure volumes on patient outcomes.
- Hospital volume has been proposed as a predictor of surgical success.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the relationship between changes in CABG procedure volume and in-hospital mortality rates.
- To determine if a reduction in CABG volume correlates with an increase in mortality.
- To evaluate the predictive value of procedure volume for patient outcomes.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of a 20% random sample of US hospital discharge data from 1988 to 2003 (Nationwide Inpatient Sample).
- Inclusion of all patients undergoing CABG or percutaneous transluminal coronary interventions.
- Assessment of cardiac procedure rates, hospital volume categories, and CABG mortality rates.
Main Results:
- CABG rates increased until 1997, then declined by 2003, while percutaneous interventions tripled.
- The proportion of high-volume CABG hospitals decreased significantly from 1997 to 2003.
- Despite declining CABG volume, the in-hospital mortality rate steadily decreased from 5.4% to 3.3% over the study period.
Conclusions:
- CABG volume has decreased since 1997, coinciding with a reduction in in-hospital mortality.
- Reduced CABG volume is associated with lower mortality, a counterintuitive finding.
- Procedure volume alone may be an insufficient predictor for healthcare regionalization strategies.
Hypothesis:
We hypothesized that the recent reduction in procedure volume for coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) has led to an increase in the in-hospital mortality rate.
Design:
Hospital discharge data from the Nationwide Inpatient Sample from January 1, 1988, through December 31, 2003.
Setting:
A 20% random sample of patients admitted to US hospitals.
Patients:
All patients who underwent CABG or percutaneous transluminal coronary interventions. Facilities performing CABG were assigned to standard volume cutoffs.
Main Outcome Measures:
Rates of cardiac procedures and the proportion of hospitals meeting standard volume cutoffs, as well as the CABG mortality rate.
Results:
During our 16-year study period, the rate of CABG increased from 7.2 cases per 1000 discharges in 1988 to 12.2 cases in 1997 but then decreased to 9.1 cases in 2003, while the rate of percutaneous interventions tripled. For CABG, the proportion of high-volume hospitals declined from 32.5% in 1997 to 15.5% in 2003. Despite shifts between high- and low-volume hospitals, the CABG mortality rate steadily declined from 5.4% in 1988 to 3.3% in 2003. Hospitals performing the lowest volume of CABG experienced the largest decrease in the in-hospital mortality rate.
Conclusions:
Since 1997, CABG volume has declined in the setting of a decrease in in-hospital mortality. A lower mortality rate in the setting of reduced CABG volume is a counterintuitive finding, suggesting that procedure volume is an insufficient predictor of outcome on which to base regionalization strategies.
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